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2024-12-13 04:28:49

At present, there is nothing wrong with the medium and long-term trend, so don't worry too much. Strategically, we will continue to watch more. Tactically, we will follow the trend and take the initiative step by step.Federal Reserve's December OutlookAt present, the market has also reached a very critical stage. If the large-cap stocks of heavyweights don't make efforts to push the index to a higher level, the short-term risk is relatively large in terms of the current position of CSI 2000 and micro-cap stocks. For example, the CSI 2000 index closed at 2635.58 today, and the high point in January 2022 was 2700.24, which is very close. It has not crossed this high point for more than two years, which shows that the pressure here is very great. If the market does not continue to launch upward, then it is impossible to complete an effective breakthrough by relying on small-cap stocks themselves, and it is impossible to get out of the independent market. Once the platform is effectively established, a larger level of space will be opened, and small-cap stocks will hopefully step out of a larger level of market. Otherwise, this wave of sharp rebound may stop here.


The latest news of personal pension fund, incremental funds are coming!Yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower, and the shape looked very poor. Many friends today estimated that they were prepared to continue the downward adjustment, but in fact, the market was still relatively stable today. Although the increase was not large, there was no sharp diving in the plate, as if it were held by a hand. Yes, it is really held up now, because it is now in a state of high control, so everyone has seen the recent trend. Excluding yesterday, it is still relatively stable. How many investors expect the market to fall down and get on the bus, but it just won't come down. The 3150 gap below is counted this week, and it has not been replenished for 11 weeks. It cannot be said that the market is not strong. So can the market continue to rise tomorrow? Let's make a detailed analysis and give you a reference.This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.


The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.The previous wave of adjustment of the Hang Seng Index was to step back on the long-term trend line at the daily level, which gained support and rebounded recently. Today, it closed above the offensive line, and the long-term trend at the daily level remains intact. On the monthly level, it fell below the offensive line last month, but it is above the offensive line at present, and it closed above 19,738 points this month. The problem is not big, and the long-term trend remains intact, and there is a basis for further strength.

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